Category Archives: 2020 Presidential Campaign
Shy Trump Voters Not so Mythical After all
Shy Trump voters proved to be more than a myth.
There’s no such thing as a shy Trump voter
The Washington Post
That was The Washington Post one day before the election.
The polling crisis is a catastrophe for American Democracy
The Atlantic
And that would be The Atlantic one day after the election.
Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit. And pollsters did not do a good job in 2016. So if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done
Frank Luntz
Frank Luntz five days before the election.
The polling industry and the mainstream media has “never been as wrong as it was” in the 2020 presidential election
Frank Luntz
And that’s Frank Luntz two days after the election.
Why have pollsters blown two presidential elections in a row?The problem seems to be pollsters can’t get a straight answer from some Trump voters. And for good reason:
If all you hear day in and day out that Trump is an evil, racist monster, then it’s going to make it less likely you admit to supporting him, including to pollsters.
The effect of ‘shy’ voters is known among pollsters as ‘social desirability bias’, as Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight explained in an article ahead of the election explaining why Trump could still win.
Daily Mail
Election 2020 in Lockdown Until Further Notice
Looks like election 2020 is in lockdown until various lawyers and politicians say otherwise. The year 2020 is living in infamy.
Election 2020 isn’t Our First Rodeo
Ailments Left Untreated Due to Pandemic
As the vote count and pandemic dragged on I daydreamed about other ailments left untreated during the pandemic.
Biden Family Swamp Home
University of Chicago Professor Charles Lipson says Biden family corruption matters:
…But that doesn’t mean the scandals are irrelevant. They matter politically for several reasons, all of them bad for Joe Biden. They imply the following:
- Biden is just another grifting politician who got rich in office;
- Uncle Joe’s persona as average, lower-middle class guy is just a cover story;
- His self-enrichment makes him the “Washington Swamp” incarnate, no different from all the other politicians turned lobbyists; and
- The media is so crooked it won’t honestly tell the public about these problems, lest they vote the wrong way.
These issues are not a distraction from Trump’s central campaign themes. They are his campaign themes and have been since he came down that Trump Tower escalator in 2015 to announce his improbable candidacy.
