Category Archives: Joe Biden
Shy Trump Voters Not so Mythical After all
Shy Trump voters proved to be more than a myth.
There’s no such thing as a shy Trump voter
The Washington Post
That was The Washington Post one day before the election.
The polling crisis is a catastrophe for American Democracy
The Atlantic
And that would be The Atlantic one day after the election.
Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit. And pollsters did not do a good job in 2016. So if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done
Frank Luntz
Frank Luntz five days before the election.
The polling industry and the mainstream media has “never been as wrong as it was” in the 2020 presidential election
Frank Luntz
And that’s Frank Luntz two days after the election.
Why have pollsters blown two presidential elections in a row?The problem seems to be pollsters can’t get a straight answer from some Trump voters. And for good reason:
If all you hear day in and day out that Trump is an evil, racist monster, then it’s going to make it less likely you admit to supporting him, including to pollsters.
The effect of ‘shy’ voters is known among pollsters as ‘social desirability bias’, as Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight explained in an article ahead of the election explaining why Trump could still win.
Daily Mail
Biden Family Swamp Home
University of Chicago Professor Charles Lipson says Biden family corruption matters:
…But that doesn’t mean the scandals are irrelevant. They matter politically for several reasons, all of them bad for Joe Biden. They imply the following:
- Biden is just another grifting politician who got rich in office;
- Uncle Joe’s persona as average, lower-middle class guy is just a cover story;
- His self-enrichment makes him the “Washington Swamp” incarnate, no different from all the other politicians turned lobbyists; and
- The media is so crooked it won’t honestly tell the public about these problems, lest they vote the wrong way.
These issues are not a distraction from Trump’s central campaign themes. They are his campaign themes and have been since he came down that Trump Tower escalator in 2015 to announce his improbable candidacy.
Fight Speech You Don’t Like with More Speech
What ever happened to the idea that you fight speech you don’t like with more speech?
In 2013 Hunter Biden flew to China on business with his father on Air Force 2. But Joe claims to know nothing about Hunter’s business dealings there. Navy vet and investor Tony Bobulinski says otherwise. And he has evidence to back it up, including his two personal meetings with Joe Biden.
Sounds like a news story to me. But Adam Schiff called it Russian disinformation. Twitter shut down the NY Post’s account when it published the story. And now Fox News is carrying the story.
Hunter Biden’s Laptop and Newly Skeptical Dems
A copy of Hunter Biden’s laptop computer turned up at the New York Post last week. It was delivered by President Trump’s friend and lawyer Rudy Giuliani. How convenient.
And it turns out the FBI has possession of the actual computer.
There’s an email on the the computer from a Burisma adviser thanking Hunter for arranging a meeting with his father who was vice president at the time. And another from a Chinese energy company pinpointing Joe Biden as the “Big Guy” demanding a 10% share in a deal they were planning.
Newly skeptical Democrats are calling it a Russian disinformation smear. But Hunter’s former partner Tony Bobulinski says otherwise.
The Lid Closes on the Trump Campaign
Throughout September I kept reading that Joe Biden had called a “lid” on his campaign. The lid often closed by 9 a.m. and that meant no campaign activities or media availability the rest of the day.
Meanwhile President Trump put in full days, followed by Air Force One rides to campaign rallies and then back to the White House after midnight. Get up in four hours and repeat.
But now, a month before the election, the president has The Virus. And Joe is emerging from his basement shell.
The lid has turned.
